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Avon Energy Partners

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An electric car starts 4.1 tonnes behind. When does it catch up?

Building an EV emits more than building a petrol car, almost entirely because of the battery. It then emits less to drive. This works out where those two lines cross — for your grid, your mileage, and your assumptions.

0.274 kgCO₂e per kWh, generation through to well-to-tank

Compare against

The starting position

Petrol car, manufacturing
3.70 t
EV, manufacturing
3.30 t
EV, battery
4.50 t
EV starts behind by
4.10 t

Carbon breakeven

14,416miles

About 1.9 years at 7,400 miles a year. Past that point the EV is ahead, and stays ahead.

Over 8 years · 59,200 miles

Petrol car25.41 tCO₂e
Electric car12.67 tCO₂e

The EV saves 12.74 tCO₂e over that period — 50% lower than the petrol car, manufacturing included.

Per mile, in use

Petrol — tailpipe
0.287 kg
Petrol — well-to-tank
0.080 kg
Electric — grid, all scopes
0.082 kg
Saved per mile
0.284 kg

Method & sources

What is counted

Manufacturing for both vehicles, the battery separately, and every mile driven. Fuel includes combustion at the tailpipe plus the emissions of extracting and refining it. Electricity includes generation, transmission and distribution losses, and the well-to-tank emissions of both — not just the grid figure, which would understate it by around a third.

What is not

Servicing, tyres, brake and road particulates, and end-of-life treatment. Battery second life and recycling are excluded, which is conservative: both would move the result in the EV’s favour. Vehicles are the dataset’s “medium car” class throughout.

Factors

UK Government (DEFRA) 2023 conversion factors for fuel and electricity, and IEA lifecycle assessment figures for manufacturing. Grid factors are location-based; a renewable tariff is a market-based claim and does not change the physical electricity a car draws.

The honest caveat

Grid factors are a snapshot. Most electricity systems are decarbonising, so an EV bought today gets cleaner every year it is driven, while a combustion car does not. This model holds the grid constant, which understates the EV case over a long ownership period.

Next step

Let’s talk.

Many of our conversations start with an organisation that isn’t yet sure what it needs. That’s a good place to begin — you’ll speak directly to the people who do the work.

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